Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium

Seoul

5 - 0

Gwangju FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Son J.

Assist: Babec H.

46'

Sub

Fridjonsson H. In: Kwon Sung-Yun

Out: Fridjonsson H.

46'

Sub

Anderson Oliveira In: Klimala P.

Out: Anderson Oliveira

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Seoul in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seoul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Seoul

Draws

Gwangju FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Seoul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gwangju FC haven't matched Seoul's recent run of results.
Model gives Seoul a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Seoul have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Seoul Clean Sheet 68%

Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Seoul	Gwangju FC
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	5
Draws	7	7
Losses	8	16
Goals Scored	1.25	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Seoul

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Mar 22, 2026 K League 1

Seoul vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

5:0

Sep 21, 2025 K League 1

Seoul vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Jun 13, 2025 K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Seoul

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

1:3

Apr 19, 2025 K League 1

Seoul vs Gwangju FC

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimala P.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Son J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Gwangju FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 95 / 100

Gwangju FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Seoul Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Seoul has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Seoul found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Gwangju FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Gwangju FC

1.25 Goals Scored 0.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Seoul	18	12	3	3	31:13	39
2	Gangwon	18	8	7	3	23:11	31
3	Jeonbuk	18	8	5	5	25:16	29
4	Ulsan Hyundai	18	8	4	6	26:26	28
5	Pohang	18	8	4	6	19:16	28
6	Anyang	18	5	9	4	23:20	24
7	Incheon	18	7	3	8	22:19	24
8	Jeju SK	18	6	5	7	16:18	23
9	Daejeon	18	4	7	7	21:20	19
10	Bucheon FC 1995	18	4	7	7	15:21	19
11	Gimcheon Sangmu	18	2	10	6	17:25	16
12	Gwangju FC	18	1	6	11	9:42	9