Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sepahan vs Al Ahli

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Alves R.
Assist: Hajsafi E.
25'
Yousefi A.
28' Event
Vlap M.
Assist: Exposito E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sepahan
30%
Draws
29%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ahli haven't matched Sepahan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sepahan a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Sepahan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Al Ahli
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.69
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Al Ahli vs Sepahan
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 AFC Champions League 2
Sepahan vs Al Ahli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rezavand A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Vlap M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Exposito E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 77 / 100
Al Ahli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepahan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Ahli conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Sepahan scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Sepahan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sepahan VS Al Ahli
0.71 Goals Scored 2.25
0.57 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepahan

(Home)
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
28 Aug
Sepahan
2 : 0
Gol Gohar
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0
Sepahan
18 Aug
Sepahan
0 : 2
Tractor
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1
Al Ahli
03 Aug
Al Hilal
3 : 3
Al Ahli
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Zawraa 5
Al Wasl 6
Arkadag 0
Al Nassr 2
Sepahan 2
Al Ahli 3
Esteghlal TEH 2
Al Hussein 4
Pohang 2
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 3
Persib Bandung 1
Bangkok Utd 4
Macarthur FC 2
Cong An Ha Noi 1
Tampines 6
Quarter-finals
Al Wasl 0
Al Nassr 4
Al Ahli 3
Al Hussein 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Ratchaburi 2
Bangkok Utd 4
Tampines 3
Semi-finals
Al Nassr 5
Al Ahli 1
Gamba Osaka 3
Bangkok Utd 1
Final
Al Nassr 0
Gamba Osaka 1