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Sepsi - 78 vs FC Kiisto Vaasa

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sepsi - 78 play FC Kiisto Vaasa in the Kakkonen Group C 2006. Sepsi - 78 are favorites here. Recently, Sepsi - 78 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. FC Kiisto Vaasa averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Sepsi - 78 won 3, FC Kiisto Vaasa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 31, 2007 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sepsi - 78 and 1.00 for FC Kiisto Vaasa. This points to a Sepsi - 78 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sepsi - 78
25%
Draws
15%
FC Kiisto Vaasa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sepsi - 78

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sepsi - 78 picked up more points recently compared to FC Kiisto Vaasa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Sepsi - 78 Clean Sheet 23%
FC Kiisto Vaasa Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepsi - 78 FC Kiisto Vaasa
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2007 Kakkonen Group C
FC Kiisto Vaasa vs Sepsi - 78
5:1
May 22, 2007 Kakkonen Group C
Sepsi - 78 vs FC Kiisto Vaasa
2:0
Aug 19, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
Sepsi - 78 vs FC Kiisto Vaasa
3:1
May 20, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
FC Kiisto Vaasa vs Sepsi - 78
0:1
Jul 28, 2002 Kakkonen North
Sepsi - 78 vs FC Kiisto Vaasa
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepsi - 78 59 / 100
FC Kiisto Vaasa 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepsi - 78 FC Kiisto Vaasa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sepsi - 78 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sepsi - 78 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sepsi - 78 attacking → ← attacking FC Kiisto Vaasa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepsi - 78 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

FC Kiisto Vaasa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sepsi - 78 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Kiisto Vaasa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 23
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GBK Kokkola26202466:2162
2PS Kemi26158366:2553
3JBK26153853:3548
4OLS Oulu26127746:3143
5SJK-j Apollo261331055:4342
6Narpes Kraft261241040:3740
7YPA26117841:4140
8Sepsi - 78261151035:2938
9FC Kiisto Vaasa261051145:4335
10Lynx Napapiiri26971051:5234
11OPS26851340:4229
12FC Korsholm Mustasaari26661432:5824
13TUS26651534:6423
14Lapuan Virkia Lapua26012515:981