Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Balkan Botevgrad finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Balkan Botevgrad come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia 2 on wins alone.
- Septemvri Sofia 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 17%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia 2 | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:2
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:1
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
May 25, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 2 41 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia 2 Balkan Botevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Sofia 2 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Septemvri Sofia 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Balkan Botevgrad has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia 2
(Home) 05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3 Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
09 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1 Slavia Sofia 2
25 Apr
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Balkan Botevgrad
(Away) 05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
29 May
Bansko
0 : 2 Balkan Botevgrad
16 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 3 Balkan Botevgrad
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
