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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Sofia 2 and Balkan Botevgrad finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Septemvri Sofia 2
33%
Draws
27%
Balkan Botevgrad
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balkan Botevgrad come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia 2 on wins alone.
  • Septemvri Sofia 2 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Balkan Botevgrad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:2
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:1
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
May 25, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Balkan Botevgrad
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 40 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Balkan Botevgrad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia 2 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Balkan Botevgrad let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Septemvri Sofia 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Balkan Botevgrad
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238