Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Svetkavitsa
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Tervel play Svetkavitsa in the Third League - North-East. Septemvri Tervel are favorites here. Recently, Septemvri Tervel averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Svetkavitsa averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Tervel won 5, Svetkavitsa won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Septemvri Tervel and 0.81 for Svetkavitsa. This points to a Septemvri Tervel double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Tervel picked up more points recently compared to Svetkavitsa.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Svetkavitsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 22 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 29 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 3.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Svetkavitsa let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Svetkavitsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |