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Stadium Background

SER Caxias do Sul vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Francisco Stedile, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Grigor
10'
Kleiton Pego
14'
Junior Rocha

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between SER Caxias do Sul and Paysandu PA finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SER Caxias do Sul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SER Caxias do Sul
33%
Draws
27%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SER Caxias do Sul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of SER Caxias do Sul on wins alone.
  • Model gives SER Caxias do Sul a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • SER Caxias do Sul have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SER Caxias do Sul Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SER Caxias do Sul Paysandu PA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie C
SER Caxias do Sul vs Paysandu PA
2:0
Dec 18, 2001 Serie B
SER Caxias do Sul vs Paysandu PA
4:3
Dec 7, 2001 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs SER Caxias do Sul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SER Caxias do Sul Compare

Top Goalscorer Calyson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salatiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paysandu PA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SER Caxias do Sul 50 / 100
Paysandu PA 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SER Caxias do Sul Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: SER Caxias do Sul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Paysandu PA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SER Caxias do Sul VS Paysandu PA
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SER Caxias do Sul

(Home)
11 Jul
SER Caxias do Sul
0 : 0
Floresta EC
04 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 1
SER Caxias do Sul
30 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1
Anapolis
21 Jun
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 1
Maringa FC
13 Jun
Guarani
2 : 1
SER Caxias do Sul
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
14 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1573515:1124
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Ferroviaria1565415:1223
7Botafogo PB1471619:1522
8Maringa FC1464427:2422
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Figueirense1555513:1820
12Ituano1454516:1619
13Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
14Volta Redonda1553711:1918
15Maranhao1546511:1418
16Amazonas1452713:1917
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)