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Serbia U18 vs North Macedonia U18

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serbia U18 play North Macedonia U18 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Serbia U18 averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. North Macedonia U18 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Serbia U18 won 3, North Macedonia U18 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Serbia U18 and 1.50 for North Macedonia U18. This points to a Serbia U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Serbia U18
18%
Draws
33%
North Macedonia U18
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Serbia U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Serbia U18 picked up more points recently compared to North Macedonia U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Serbia U18 Clean Sheet 16%
North Macedonia U18 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U18 North Macedonia U18
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Friendly International
Serbia U18 vs North Macedonia U18
3:0
Nov 28, 2019 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Serbia U18
1:5
Nov 26, 2019 Friendly International
North Macedonia U18 vs Serbia U18
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maravic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ostojic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

North Macedonia U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U18 47 / 100
North Macedonia U18 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U18 North Macedonia U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Serbia U18 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serbia U18 attacking → ← attacking North Macedonia U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U18 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

North Macedonia U18 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Serbia U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

North Macedonia U18 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38