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Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Gradski stadion, Subotica
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Milovanovic D.
47' Event
Goryanov K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Serbia U19
30%
Draws
47%
Bulgaria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bulgaria U19 haven't matched Serbia U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bulgaria U19 a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Serbia U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Bulgaria U19 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U19 Bulgaria U19
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19
1:1
Nov 18, 2023 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:0
Mar 12, 2020 Friendly International
Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19
2:0
Feb 24, 2016 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Serbia U19
0:2
Jul 25, 2014 Euro U19
Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Milovanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Bulgaria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goryanov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U19 15 / 100
Bulgaria U19 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U19 Bulgaria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U19 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Bulgaria U19 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Serbia U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serbia U19 VS Bulgaria U19
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Serbia U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Serbia U19
4 : 1
Faroe Islands U19
29 Sept
Serbia U19
0 : 4
Hungary U19
26 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 3
Romania U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
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Bulgaria U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Bulgaria U19
6 : 0
Gibraltar U19
29 Sept
Bulgaria U19
0 : 1
Romania U19
26 Sept
Hungary U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
07 Jun
Bulgaria U19
3 : 0
Albania U19
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