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Serbia U19 W vs Lithuania U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2024 Darius and Girėnas Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Serbia U19 W play Lithuania U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2024. Serbia U19 W are favorites here. Recently, Serbia U19 W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Lithuania U19 W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 3.06 conceded. In past meetings, Serbia U19 W won 2, Lithuania U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.50 for Serbia U19 W and 1.19 for Lithuania U19 W. This points to a Serbia U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Serbia U19 W
16%
Draws
21%
Lithuania U19 W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Serbia U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Serbia U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Lithuania U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.50 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Serbia U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serbia U19 W Lithuania U19 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Euro U19 Women
Serbia U19 W vs Lithuania U19 W
4:1
Apr 9, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Serbia U19 W vs Lithuania U19 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serbia U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matejic N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Babic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Lithuania U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jasaityte K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serbia U19 W 61 / 100
Lithuania U19 W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serbia U19 W Lithuania U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serbia U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Serbia U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Serbia U19 W attacking → ← attacking Lithuania U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serbia U19 W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lithuania U19 W let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Serbia U19 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lithuania U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 23
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U19 W321012:17
2France U19 W32019:26
3Serbia U19 W31116:54
4Lithuania U19 W30031:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U19 W32104:17
2Spain U19 W31112:14
3Germany U19 W31113:44
4Ireland U19 W30121:41