Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serik Spor vs Hatayspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ismail Ogan Stadium, Serik
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Arslan E.
35' Event
Gonulacar M.
Penalty Missed
40'
Gazanfer S.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Serik Spor and Hatayspor finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serik Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Serik Spor
28%
Draws
50%
Hatayspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hatayspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Serik Spor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hatayspor a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 16%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serik Spor Hatayspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 1. Lig
Serik Spor vs Hatayspor
4:2
Dec 21, 2025 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Serik Spor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Altiparmak G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koc A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hatayspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Azrak Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arslan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serik Spor 23 / 100
Hatayspor 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serik Spor Hatayspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hatayspor has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Serik Spor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Serik Spor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Serik Spor VS Hatayspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Serik Spor

(Home)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Hatayspor

(Away)
01 May
Hatayspor
3 : 1
Vanspor FK
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1
Sakaryaspor
11 Apr
Sariyer
4 : 0
Hatayspor
07 Apr
Hatayspor
4 : 0
Adanademirspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)