Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ismail Ogan Stadium, Serik
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Ceylan B.
46'
Sub
Yavuz S. In: Terzi E.
Out: Yavuz S.
46'
Sub
Sadygov I. In: Topalli J.
Out: Sadygov I.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Serik Spor and Sakaryaspor finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serik Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Serik Spor
28%
Draws
22%
Sakaryaspor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Serik Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Serik Spor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Serik Spor a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Serik Spor Clean Sheet 14%
Sakaryaspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serik Spor Sakaryaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 1. Lig
Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. Lig
Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor
2:3
Apr 24, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor
1:2
Dec 12, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Sakaryaspor vs Serik Spor
2:1
Apr 15, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Serik Spor vs Sakaryaspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Serik Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Altiparmak G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sakaryaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serik Spor 48 / 100
Sakaryaspor 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serik Spor Sakaryaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sakaryaspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Serik Spor's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sakaryaspor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Serik Spor VS Sakaryaspor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Serik Spor

(Home)
01 May
Boluspor
3 : 1
Serik Spor
25 Apr
Serik Spor
4 : 2
Hatayspor
19 Apr
Manisa FK
1 : 0
Serik Spor
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
08 Apr
Serik Spor
1 : 6
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Sakaryaspor

(Away)
01 May
Manisa FK
5 : 0
Sakaryaspor
26 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 4
Corum FK
18 Apr
Hatayspor
1 : 1
Sakaryaspor
13 Apr
Sakaryaspor
1 : 2
Erokspor
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0
Sakaryaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)