Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Serranense vs Inter de Minas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Serranense
30%
Draws
54%
Inter de Minas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter de Minas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter de Minas have won more games recently than Serranense.
  • Inter de Minas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Inter de Minas have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Serranense Clean Sheet 10%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Serranense Inter de Minas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2025 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Serranense
4:2
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Serranense
3:0
Aug 30, 2023 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Inter de Minas
2:3
Sep 15, 2022 Mineiro 3
Serranense vs Inter de Minas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Serranense 10 / 100
Inter de Minas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Serranense Inter de Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Minas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Serranense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Inter de Minas has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Serranense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Serranense VS Inter de Minas
0.83 Goals Scored 1.88
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Serranense

(Home)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
05 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
6 : 1
Serranense
27 Sept
Serranense
2 : 2
Tupi-MG
20 Sept
Novo Esporte
3 : 0
Serranense
06 Sept
Serranense
0 : 0
Uniao Luziense
Page 1 of 6

Inter de Minas

(Away)
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Inter de Minas
1 : 3
Tupi-MG
26 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 0
Boston City
13 Sept
Uniao Luziense
0 : 0
Inter de Minas
07 Sept
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 2
Inter de Minas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)