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Sertanense vs GD Coruchense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Sertanense Logo

Sertanense

1 - 1
FT
GD Coruchense Logo

GD Coruchense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sertanense
30%
Draws
47%
GD Coruchense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GD Coruchense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Coruchense have won more games recently than Sertanense.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 23%
GD Coruchense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sertanense GD Coruchense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Coruchense vs Sertanense
2:2
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sertanense vs GD Coruchense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sertanense 37 / 100
GD Coruchense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sertanense GD Coruchense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Coruchense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

GD Coruchense has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: GD Coruchense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sertanense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sertanense

(Home)
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
13 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 0
Sertanense
Page 1 of 7

GD Coruchense

(Away)
16 Apr
1º Dezembro
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
08 Apr
GD Coruchense
2 : 4
Mortagua FC
02 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GD Coruchense
19 Mar
GD Coruchense
2 : 2
Sertanense
12 Mar
Alcains
0 : 3
GD Coruchense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)