Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sestao vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Laka A. B.
60' Event
Erdozia O.
78' Event
Castillo Marcilla A.

AI Match Summary

Sestao in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Sestao
35%
Draws
10%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestao have won more games recently than Mutilvera.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Sestao taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sestao have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sestao Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestao Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Mutilvera
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Sestao
0:2
Mar 18, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Sestao
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Mutilvera
2:0
Apr 30, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Mutilvera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sestao Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Laka A. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Mutilvera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestao 95 / 100
Mutilvera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestao Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mutilvera conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sestao remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sestao VS Mutilvera
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestao

(Home)
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Derio
0 : 1
Sestao
22 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 1
Sestao
19 Aug
Eibar B
0 : 0
Sestao
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Mutilvera

(Away)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)