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Sestri Levante vs Finale Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sestri Levante in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sestri Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sestri Levante
20%
Draws
16%
Finale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sestri Levante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sestri Levante lately — more wins on the board than Finale.
  • Win probability leans Sestri Levante's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 68%
Finale Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sestri Levante Finale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Sestri Levante vs Finale
2:0
Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sestri Levante
0:2
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sestri Levante
3:3
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Sestri Levante vs Finale
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sestri Levante 86 / 100
Finale 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sestri Levante Finale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestri Levante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sestri Levante scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Finale registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sestri Levante VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sestri Levante

(Home)
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

Finale

(Away)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)