Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sevilla B vs Murcia

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Jesus Navas, Sevilla
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sanchez J. G.
25'
Narro V.
45'
da Silva A.

AI Match Summary

Murcia in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Sevilla B
20%
Draws
69%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Very High Confidence
  • Sevilla B haven't matched Murcia's recent run of results.
  • Murcia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sevilla B Clean Sheet 11%
Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sevilla B Murcia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Murcia
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sevilla B
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Sevilla B
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sevilla B vs Murcia
1:2
Jan 31, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Sevilla B vs Murcia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sevilla B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosilj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sevilla B 10 / 100
Murcia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sevilla B Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Murcia conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sevilla B found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Sevilla B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sevilla B VS Murcia
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sevilla B

(Home)
31 Jul
Cordoba B
2 : 1
Sevilla B
23 May
Sevilla B
1 : 1
Alcorcon
16 May
Villarreal B
2 : 0
Sevilla B
10 May
Sevilla B
2 : 2
Eldense
02 May
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 1
Sevilla B
Page 1 of 6

Murcia

(Away)
05 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 4
Murcia
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1
Eldense
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)