Sport Picks
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla 
Match Events
15'
15'
Vinicius Junior
48'
48'
Gudelj N.
53'
53'
Sub
Maupay N. In: Sanchez A.
Out: Maupay N.
AI Match Summary
Real Madrid in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Real Madrid have won more games recently than Sevilla.
- Model gives Real Madrid a 48% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Madrid have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sevilla Clean Sheet 14%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sevilla | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
2:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Sevilla vs Real Madrid
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
4:2
Feb 25, 2024 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sevilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Real Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius Junior
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sevilla 19 / 100
Real Madrid 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sevilla Real Madrid
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sevilla found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Real Madrid let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Sevilla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sevilla VS Real Madrid
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sevilla
(Home) 19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1 Sevilla
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1 Sevilla
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 3 Barcelona
11 Sept
Sevilla
1 : 0 Valencia
29 Aug
Sevilla
1 : 3 Atl. Madrid
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
26 Jul
Sevilla
2 : 1 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 3
Real Madrid
(Away) 20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1 Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1 Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3 Real Madrid
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0 Real Madrid
22 Aug
Espanyol
1 : 2 Real Madrid
16 Aug
Schalke
0 : 3 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
