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Stadium Background

SGS Essen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Stadion Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bender L.
Assist: Kogel K.
41' Event
Kogel K.
Assist: Kramer C.
46'
Sub
Meissner J. In: Maier R.
Out: Meissner J.

AI Match Summary

Bayer Leverkusen W in this Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bayer Leverkusen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SGS Essen W
6%
Draws
90%
Bayer Leverkusen W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bayer Leverkusen W have won more games recently than SGS Essen W.
  • Model gives Bayer Leverkusen W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SGS Essen W Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SGS Essen W Bayer Leverkusen W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 1
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs SGS Essen W
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Bayer Leverkusen W vs SGS Essen W
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Bayer Leverkusen W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SGS Essen W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bayer Leverkusen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kogel K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bender L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SGS Essen W 10 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SGS Essen W Bayer Leverkusen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SGS Essen W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Bayer Leverkusen W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SGS Essen W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SGS Essen W VS Bayer Leverkusen W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211