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Stadium Background

SGS Essen W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Stadion Essen
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Touon E.
Assist: Ostermeier L.
8' Event
Meissner J.
Assist: Touon E.
11'
Reuter M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between SGS Essen W and Carl Zeiss Jena W finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SGS Essen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SGS Essen W
11%
Draws
9%
Carl Zeiss Jena W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SGS Essen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • SGS Essen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on SGS Essen W taking it.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SGS Essen W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SGS Essen W Clean Sheet 10%
Carl Zeiss Jena W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SGS Essen W Carl Zeiss Jena W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
4:3
Nov 9, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs SGS Essen W
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
4:1
Sep 30, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Carl Zeiss Jena W vs SGS Essen W
0:2
May 15, 2022 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Carl Zeiss Jena W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SGS Essen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Touon E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Meissner J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Carl Zeiss Jena W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tietz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reuter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SGS Essen W 74 / 100
Carl Zeiss Jena W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SGS Essen W Carl Zeiss Jena W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carl Zeiss Jena W conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Carl Zeiss Jena W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

SGS Essen W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

SGS Essen W VS Carl Zeiss Jena W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bayern Munich W26242090:974
2Wolfsburg W26184472:3858
3Eintracht Frankfurt W26163765:4351
4Hoffenheim W26144848:3046
5Bayer Leverkusen W261511046:3646
6Werder Bremen W26127742:3643
7Koln W261141136:3737
8Freiburg W261041244:4634
9Union Berlin W26861242:5130
10RB Leipzig W26771239:4828
111.FC Nurnberg W26641633:6122
12Hamburger W26461626:5718
13SGS Essen W26371622:6316
14Carl Zeiss Jena W26251922:7211