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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai play Ajman in the UAE League 2025/2026. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai are favorites here. Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai averaged 2.54 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Ajman averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai won 4, Ajman won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and 1.00 for Ajman. This points to a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
25%
Draws
15%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai picked up more points recently compared to Ajman.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 23%
Ajman Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ajman
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.54 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:1
Jan 15, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
3:1
Feb 8, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 Presidents Cup
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Ajman
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 League Cup
Ajman vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Henrique
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azarou W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 59 / 100
Ajman 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Ajman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai attacking → ← attacking Ajman

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Ajman let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ajman lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 36
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.14
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.29

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520