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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Jazira

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Al Rashid Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Mateus Henrique In: Rikelme
Out: Mateus Henrique
19' Event
Yuri Cesar
Assist: Azmoun S.
41'
Rikelme

AI Match Summary

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
44%
Draws
20%
Al Jazira
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Al Jazira on recent form.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Jazira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Jazira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Jazira
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Presidents Cup
Al Jazira vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:3
May 25, 2025 UAE League
Al Jazira vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 League Cup
Al Jazira vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri Cesar
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Jazira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 36 / 100
Al Jazira 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Jazira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Al Jazira let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Al Jazira
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ain26215062:1868
2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai26177260:1858
3Al Wasl26146639:2948
4Al Jazira26135846:3044
5Al Wahda261010638:2640
6Al Nasr26911636:3438
7Ajman26951227:3432
8Al Sharjah26851335:4729
9Khorfakkan26691135:4527
10Bani Yas26761329:4327
11Ittihad Kalba26591229:4524
12Al Dhafra26641628:5222
13Al Bataeh26491324:3721
14Dibba Al Fujairah26551625:5520