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Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Sharjah

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Super Cup Al Rashid Stadium, Dubai
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cartabia F.
(Penalty)
15'
Abdulrahman S.
21'
Yuri Cesar

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Al Sharjah advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
30%
Draws
34%
Al Sharjah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai come out ahead of Al Sharjah on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai taking it.
  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Sharjah, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sharjah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Sharjah
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:4
Dec 27, 2025 Super Cup
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Sharjah
2:3
Oct 30, 2025 UAE League
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai vs Al Sharjah
2:0
May 9, 2025 Presidents Cup
Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 UAE League
Al Sharjah vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Sharjah Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Pereira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 36 / 100
Al Sharjah 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Al Sharjah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Sharjah conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai VS Al Sharjah
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai

(Home)
13 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
16 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1 : 1
Al Bataeh
10 May
Bani Yas
2 : 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
06 May
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
2 : 1
Al Nasr
29 Apr
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
3 : 3
Khorfakkan
Page 1 of 6

Al Sharjah

(Away)
22 Jul
Beltinci
0 : 4
Al Sharjah
19 Jul
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Abha
15 May
Al Sharjah
3 : 1
Khorfakkan
10 May
Al Bataeh
0 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 May
Al Sharjah
0 : 5
Al Ain
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai2
Al Sharjah3