Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley in this Lebanese Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Shabab Baalbeck
6%
Draws
90%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley lately — more wins on the board than Shabab Baalbeck.
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 12%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shabab Baalbeck Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Shabab Baalbeck
1:0
Dec 16, 2018 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:1
Feb 10, 2018 Lebanese Cup
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:2
Jan 27, 2018 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0:0
Nov 4, 2017 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shabab Baalbeck 10 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shabab Baalbeck Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Shabab Baalbeck's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Shabab Baalbeck has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shabab Baalbeck VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shabab Baalbeck

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
Page 1 of 6

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Away)
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
19 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 0
Tadamon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Al Ahed2
Tripoli SC1
Shabab Baalbeck0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley2
Al Ansar0
Nejmeh SC1
Tadamon2
Salam Zgharta1
Semi-finals
Al Ahed3
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley2
Nejmeh SC3
Tadamon2
Final
Al Ahed1
Nejmeh SC0