Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shahrdari Noshahr play Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shahrdari Noshahr averaged 0.55 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.52 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. In past meetings, Shahrdari Noshahr won 1, Ario Eslamshahr won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Shahrdari Noshahr and 0.69 for Ario Eslamshahr. This points to a Ario Eslamshahr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Shahrdari Noshahr

35%

Draws

36%

Ario Eslamshahr

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Shahrdari Noshahr picked up more points recently compared to Ario Eslamshahr.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 39%

Over 2.5 Goals 5%

Over 3.5 Goals 3%

Over 4.5 Goals 2%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 28%

Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 25%

First Half Goal 35%

Second Half Goal 37%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shahrdari Noshahr	Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	7
Draws	13	14
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.55	0.52
Goals Conceded	0.93	0.48
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Oct 25, 2025 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Feb 25, 2025 Azadegan League

Ario Eslamshahr vs Shahrdari Noshahr

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Oct 10, 2024 Azadegan League

Shahrdari Noshahr vs Ario Eslamshahr

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseini M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 32 / 100

Ario Eslamshahr 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shahrdari Noshahr Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ario Eslamshahr or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shahrdari Noshahr attacking → ← attacking Ario Eslamshahr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shahrdari Noshahr scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Shahrdari Noshahr went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 35

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	33	20	9	4	47:15	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	33	18	11	4	39:14	65
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	33	15	12	6	42:21	57
4	Sanat Naft	33	15	12	6	35:21	57
5	Saipa	33	15	11	7	29:18	56
6	Havadar SC	33	11	17	5	32:20	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	33	10	17	6	26:18	47
8	Fard	33	10	15	8	24:15	45
9	Mes Kerman	33	9	15	9	20:18	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	33	8	16	9	17:17	40
11	Besat Kermanshah	33	9	11	13	24:30	38
12	Niroye Zamini	33	8	12	13	28:29	36
13	Naft Gachsaran	33	7	14	12	25:39	35
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	33	8	10	15	16:34	34
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	33	7	11	15	20:36	32
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	33	5	15	13	18:28	30
17	Navad Urmia	33	4	12	17	16:45	24
18	Damash Gilan	33	2	12	19	16:56	18