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Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hosseini M.
80' Event
Joudaki E.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Shahrdari Noshahr and Mes Kerman finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Shahrdari Noshahr
35%
Draws
41%
Mes Kerman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mes Kerman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Shahrdari Noshahr haven't matched Mes Kerman's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Shahrdari Noshahr Clean Sheet 25%
Mes Kerman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shahrdari Noshahr Mes Kerman
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 13 14
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.53 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahrdari Noshahr
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Azadegan League
Mes Kerman vs Shahrdari Noshahr
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Shahrdari Noshahr vs Mes Kerman
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shahrdari Noshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Joudaki E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mes Kerman Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shahrdari Noshahr 37 / 100
Mes Kerman 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shahrdari Noshahr Mes Kerman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mes Kerman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Shahrdari Noshahr went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shahrdari Noshahr's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mes Kerman has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shahrdari Noshahr VS Mes Kerman
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shahrdari Noshahr

(Home)
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Niroye Zamini
02 Jul
Saipa
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
27 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
21 Jun
Sanat Naft
1 : 1
Shahrdari Noshahr
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Mes Kerman

(Away)
22 Sept
Mes Kerman
0 : 1
Saipa
15 Sept
Fard
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0
Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Sanat Naft
1 : 0
Mes Kerman
03 Jul
Mes Kerman
0 : 0
Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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