Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shaita vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Shaita
35%
Draws
24%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shaita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Freeport average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Shaita's 1.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Freeport, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Shaita Clean Sheet 20%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shaita Freeport
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Orange Cup
Shaita vs Freeport
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Orange Cup
Freeport vs Shaita
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Shaita
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Shaita vs Freeport
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shaita 31 / 100
Freeport 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shaita Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shaita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Shaita's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Shaita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shaita VS Freeport
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shaita

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
22 Apr
Freeport
0 : 1
Shaita
09 Apr
FC Fassell
0 : 2
Shaita
20 Apr
BEA Mountain
5 : 2
Shaita
Page 1 of 6

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior 1
Watanga 0
Gardnersville 2
Downtown 0
BEA Mountain 1
Freeport 3
FC Fassell 0
Shaita 2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior 4
Gardnersville 3
Freeport 1
Shaita 2
Final
Black Man Warrior 2
Shaita 1