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Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhenis Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cheredinov A.

AI Match Summary

Zhenis in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Shakhtar Bulat
15%
Draws
73%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Shakhtar Bulat haven't matched Zhenis's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zhenis have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhtar Bulat Zhenis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhenis
0:1
Jul 23, 2022 First League
Zhenis vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
Aug 30, 2014 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Zhenis
1:2
Jun 15, 2014 First League
Zhenis vs Shakhtar Bulat
1:0
Sep 11, 2013 First League
Zhenis vs Shakhtar Bulat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheredinov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhtar Bulat 36 / 100
Zhenis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhtar Bulat Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zhenis let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Zhenis has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhenis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar Bulat

(Home)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
28 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
0 : 1
Zhenis
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Shakhtar Bulat
2 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
09 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)