Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2010

Spartak Semey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy 2 play Spartak Semey in the First Division 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Shakhter Karagandy 2 averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Spartak Semey averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Shakhter Karagandy 2 won 2, Spartak Semey won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Shakhter Karagandy 2 and 1.24 for Spartak Semey. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Shakhter Karagandy 2

15%

Draws

41%

Spartak Semey

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Shakhter Karagandy 2 picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Semey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Shakhter Karagandy 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Spartak Semey Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shakhter Karagandy 2	Spartak Semey
Matches Played	34	42
Wins	17	20
Draws	6	9
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.35	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.76

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2011 First League

Spartak Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Jun 23, 2011 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Spartak Semey

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Oct 3, 2010 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Spartak Semey

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

May 23, 2010 First League

Spartak Semey vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

4:1

Sep 20, 2009 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Spartak Semey

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 2 43 / 100

Spartak Semey 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shakhter Karagandy 2 Spartak Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shakhter Karagandy 2 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shakhter Karagandy 2 attacking → ← attacking Spartak Semey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy 2 scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Spartak Semey let in goals in 52% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Semey lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 69

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vostok Oskemen	34	27	6	1	91:15	87
2	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	25	6	3	74:23	81
3	Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan	34	22	7	5	73:28	73
4	Spartak Semey	34	19	7	8	68:40	64
5	Ile-Saulet	34	18	9	7	73:38	63
6	Cesna Almaty	34	18	5	11	56:34	59
7	Kazakhmys	34	17	6	11	80:45	57
8	Ak Bulak	34	14	9	11	48:39	51
9	FC Ekibastuz	34	14	9	11	44:37	51
10	Kyzylzhar	34	14	4	16	44:57	46
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	12	8	14	46:54	44
12	Aktobe 2	34	13	4	17	40:66	43
13	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	2	20	52:83	38
14	Shakhter Karagandy 2	34	10	8	16	44:58	38
15	Zhenis	34	9	4	21	41:75	31
16	Kaspij Aktau	34	5	5	24	40:79	20
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	3	26	32:76	18
18	Asbest Zitikara	34	0	2	32	11:110	2