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Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Nurmugamet R.
Assist: Vasilchenko D.
51' Event
Litosh A.
Assist: Galkin M.
56' Event
Litosh A.

AI Match Summary

Shakhter Karagandy in this First League matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shakhter Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Shakhter Karagandy
15%
Draws
27%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shakhter Karagandy lately — more wins on the board than Aktobe 2.
  • Shakhter Karagandy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shakhter Karagandy here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Shakhter Karagandy Clean Sheet 20%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shakhter Karagandy Aktobe 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.7 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
1:6
May 15, 2026 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe 2
7:0
Aug 14, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Shakhter Karagandy
2:2
May 16, 2025 First League
Shakhter Karagandy vs Aktobe 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shakhter Karagandy Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurmugamet R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Litosh A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shakhter Karagandy 85 / 100
Aktobe 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shakhter Karagandy Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhter Karagandy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhter Karagandy scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Aktobe 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Shakhter Karagandy stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shakhter Karagandy VS Aktobe 2
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhter Karagandy

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
03 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
Khan Tengri
27 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Shakhter Karagandy
21 Aug
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 0
FC Astana 2
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Aktobe 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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