Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Shamakhi City Stadium

Shamakhi

2 - 2

Neftci Baku

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Sub

Sacko F. In: Shtogrin A.

Out: Sacko F.

46'

Sub

Sambou B. In: Aboubakar V.

Out: Sambou B.

46'

Igor Ribeiro

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Shamakhi and Neftci Baku finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Shamakhi

22%

Draws

60%

Neftci Baku

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Neftci Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Shamakhi haven't matched Neftci Baku's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Neftci Baku taking it.
Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Shamakhi Clean Sheet 12%

Neftci Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shamakhi	Neftci Baku
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	15
Draws	8	5
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	0.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League

Neftci Baku vs Shamakhi

Possession: 60% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Aug 16, 2025 Premier League

Neftci Baku vs Shamakhi

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Apr 7, 2025 Premier League

Shamakhi vs Neftci Baku

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

0:2

Jan 31, 2025 Premier League

Neftci Baku vs Shamakhi

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamakhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cezar

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Neftci Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Aboubakar V.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamakhi 19 / 100

Neftci Baku 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shamakhi Neftci Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEF Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Neftci Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Neftci Baku's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shamakhi VS Neftci Baku

0.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sabah Baku	33	24	6	3	75:25	78
2	Qarabag Agdam	33	21	6	6	71:27	69
3	Turan	33	17	8	8	44:27	59
4	Neftci Baku	33	16	11	6	57:32	59
5	Zira FK	33	13	14	6	43:36	53
6	Araz PFK	33	13	7	13	44:58	46
7	SumQayit FK	33	12	5	16	45:49	41
8	Shamakhi	33	9	11	13	31:40	38
9	Imisli FK	33	7	13	13	23:43	34
10	Kapaz	33	8	3	22	25:61	27
11	Gabala	33	7	6	20	32:49	27
12	Karvan	33	3	6	24	23:66	15