Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shamal vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Nouri A.
39' Event
Belhanda Y.
45' Event
Collado A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-3. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shamal
17%
Draws
13%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Shamal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Shamal taking it.
  • Shamal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Shamal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shamal Al Bidda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 QSL Cup
Shamal vs Al Bidda
3:3
Apr 3, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Bidda vs Shamal
0:3
Feb 25, 2021 QSL 2
Shamal vs Al Bidda
0:0
Jan 5, 2021 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Shamal
0:1
Dec 12, 2020 QSL 2
Al Bidda vs Shamal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhanda Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Collado A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Bidda Compare

Top Goalscorer Nouri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shamal 67 / 100
Al Bidda 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shamal Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Bidda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Shamal found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Bidda lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shamal VS Al Bidda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shamal

(Home)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Al Bidda

(Away)
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)