Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Sardar Azadegan Stadium, Qazvin
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Nasiri M.
18'
Mohebi S.
46'
Sub
Jabireh R. In: Arab F.
Out: Jabireh R.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Shams Azar Qazvin and Mes Rafsanjan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shams Azar Qazvin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shams Azar Qazvin
33%
Draws
40%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mes Rafsanjan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Shams Azar Qazvin and Mes Rafsanjan close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Mes Rafsanjan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 28%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shams Azar Qazvin Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 4 4
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan
2:0
Sep 19, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:0
Mar 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan
3:1
Oct 4, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:1
Feb 28, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shams Azar Qazvin Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shams Azar Qazvin 30 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shams Azar Qazvin Mes Rafsanjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mes Rafsanjan let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Difficult form: Mes Rafsanjan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Shams Azar Qazvin scored in 44% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shams Azar Qazvin VS Mes Rafsanjan
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Home)
27 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 2
Foolad
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
05 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
Page 1 of 6

Mes Rafsanjan

(Away)
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
07 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
28 Jan
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)