Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua

China China

Super League Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Teixeira J. In: Xie Pengfei
Out: Teixeira J.
24' Event
Zeca
Assist: da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
26' Event
da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
Assist: Qazaishvili V.

AI Match Summary

Shandong Taishan in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shandong Taishan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Shandong Taishan
44%
Draws
20%
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shandong Taishan lately — more wins on the board than Shanghai Shenhua.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Shandong Taishan Clean Sheet 10%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shandong Taishan Shanghai Shenhua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua
4:1
Sep 12, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Taishan
3:3
Apr 26, 2025 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:1
Jul 6, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shandong Taishan
6:0
Mar 31, 2024 Super League
Shandong Taishan vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shandong Taishan Compare

Top Goalscorer da Cruz Queiroz Barcelo C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Zeca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Ratao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shandong Taishan 34 / 100
Shanghai Shenhua 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shandong Taishan Shanghai Shenhua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shandong Taishan's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Shanghai Shenhua conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Shandong Taishan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Shandong Taishan VS Shanghai Shenhua
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Shandong Taishan

(Home)
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
21 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 3
Shandong Taishan
18 Jul
Dalian Yingbo
3 : 1
Shandong Taishan
10 Jul
Shandong Taishan
4 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
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Shanghai Shenhua

(Away)
25 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 0
Shanghai Shenhua
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2
Zhejiang Professional
28 Jun
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 4
Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng20135241:2044
2Chongqing Tonglianglong2078523:2229
3Yunnan Yukun2084840:3828
4Dalian Yingbo1991930:3528
5Qingdao West Coast20610424:2928
6Shandong Taishan2093836:3624
7Zhejiang Professional2085730:3424
8Beijing Guoan1977532:2623
9Henan Songshan Longmen1983825:2421
10Liaoning Tieren19631025:3121
11Shenzhen Xinpengcheng20621228:3720
12Shanghai Shenhua1985636:3119
13Shanghai Port1966730:2619
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Wuhan Three Towns1947827:3414
16Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)