Sport Picks
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
China
FA Cup Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai 
Match Events
3'
3'
Yeboah Y.
Assist: Zheng Cuanhui
8'
8'
Asue L.
Assist: Gao Tianyi
17'
17'
Asue L.
Assist: Wu Xi
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Shanghai Shenhua advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Shanghai Shenhua carry the better recent record into this one.
- Shanghai Shenhua are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Shanghai Shenhua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Shanghai Shenhua, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Shanghai Shenhua have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shanghai Shenhua | Qingdao Hainiu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
4:1
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:2
Apr 16, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Shanghai Shenhua Compare
Top Goalscorer Asue L.
3 Goals Assists Leader Rafael Ratao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Qingdao Hainiu Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shanghai Shenhua 95 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shanghai Shenhua Qingdao Hainiu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qingdao Hainiu let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Shanghai Shenhua scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Shanghai Shenhua stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shanghai Shenhua VS Qingdao Hainiu
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Shanghai Shenhua
(Home) 21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 Zhejiang Professional
28 Jun
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 4 Shanghai Shenhua
20 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 2 Shanghai Shenhua
Page 1 of 7
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
05 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
3 : 2 Zhejiang Professional
24 May
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
20 May
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 2 Wuhan Three Towns
Page 1 of 4
Qingdao Hainiu
(Away) 21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
14 Jul
Zhejiang Professional
3 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
05 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
1 : 1 Chengdu Rongcheng
26 Jun
Qingdao Hainiu
4 : 2 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
4 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1 Qingdao Hainiu
14 Jul
Zhejiang Professional
3 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
20 Jun
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 3 Qingdao Hainiu
30 May
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
3 : 2 Qingdao Hainiu
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun4
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Qingdao West Coast0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Shaanxi Union0
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shandong Taishan3
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Quarter-finals
Dalian Yingbo-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Beijing Guoan-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Port-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
