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Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

China China

Super League 2025 Shanghai Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Andre Luis
Assist: Teixeira J.
38'
Jiang Zhipeng
46'
Sub
Zhang Yudong In: Abduweli Behram
Out: Zhang Yudong

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Shanghai Shenhua and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shanghai Shenhua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Shanghai Shenhua
17%
Draws
13%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shanghai Shenhua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Shanghai Shenhua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Shanghai Shenhua's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shanghai Shenhua Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
3:1
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Shanghai Shenhua vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2:2
Jul 17, 2024 FA Cup
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Shanghai Shenhua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shanghai Shenhua Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Luis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shanghai Shenhua 77 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shanghai Shenhua Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Shanghai Shenhua found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Shanghai Shenhua stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shanghai Shenhua VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219