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Shao Jiang vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Morillo E.
60' Event
Ao C. K.
64' Event
Seng L. C.

AI Match Summary

Shao Jiang in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shao Jiang
6%
Draws
4%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang have won more games recently than Cheng Fung.
  • Model gives Shao Jiang a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shao Jiang here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shao Jiang Cheng Fung
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 25 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 5.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
0:4
Apr 19, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Cheng Fung
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
0:5
May 25, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs Cheng Fung
4:0
Feb 28, 2025 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Shao Jiang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Morillo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seng L. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.23
Avg xA / game 2.75

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Ao C. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shao Jiang 95 / 100
Cheng Fung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shao Jiang Cheng Fung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Shao Jiang scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Cheng Fung's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shao Jiang stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shao Jiang VS Cheng Fung
5.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shao Jiang

(Home)
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
20 Jun
Shao Jiang
6 : 0
University of Macau
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Cheng Fung

(Away)
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
20 Jun
Cheng Fung
4 : 4
G. Universe
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang17142183:1644
2Must IPO17132281:1441
3Gala17122352:2138
4Chiba1784544:2828
5Benfica1773744:4124
6Cheng Fung1756629:3621
7G. Universe1762946:6920
8Hang Sai17341033:4413
9Artilheiros17331124:9512
10University of Macau17001713:850
Promotion - Elite League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League (Relegation Group)