Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Shire Endaselassie

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC play Shire Endaselassie in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sheger Ketema FC averaged 0.9 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Shire Endaselassie averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Sheger Ketema FC won 1, Shire Endaselassie won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Sheger Ketema FC and 0.63 for Shire Endaselassie. This points to a Sheger Ketema FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Sheger Ketema FC

35%

Draws

25%

Shire Endaselassie

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sheger Ketema FC picked up more points recently compared to Shire Endaselassie.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 51%

Over 2.5 Goals 17%

Over 3.5 Goals 10%

Over 4.5 Goals 5%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 29%

Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 46%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheger Ketema FC	Shire Endaselassie
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	14	12
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	0.9	0.57
Goals Conceded	0.81	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Premier League

Shire Endaselassie vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Feb 4, 2026 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs Shire Endaselassie

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheger Ketema FC 42 / 100

Shire Endaselassie 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheger Ketema FC Shire Endaselassie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sheger Ketema FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +54.5%

9.09

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sheger Ketema FC attacking → ← attacking Shire Endaselassie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheger Ketema FC scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Shire Endaselassie let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sheger Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shire Endaselassie lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 30

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35