Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC

1 - 0

St. Georges

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Fikru B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheger Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sheger Ketema FC

39%

Draws

30%

St. Georges

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to St. Georges lately — more wins on the board than Sheger Ketema FC.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 26%

St. Georges Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sheger Ketema FC	St. Georges
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	14	12
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League

Sheger Ketema FC vs St. Georges

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 3, 2025 Premier League

St. Georges vs Sheger Ketema FC

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fikru B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

St. Georges Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheger Ketema FC 33 / 100

St. Georges 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sheger Ketema FC St. Georges

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheger Ketema FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Georges has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Sheger Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sheger Ketema FC VS St. Georges

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38

38% Over 1.5 38%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	38	19	11	8	43:23	68
2	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	38	15	15	8	37:30	60
3	Mechal SC	38	14	15	9	44:31	57
4	Fasil Kenema	38	14	13	11	28:28	55
5	Ethio Electric S.C.	38	13	15	10	32:26	54
6	St. Georges	38	14	12	12	33:31	54
7	Welayta Dicha	38	11	18	9	37:31	51
8	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	38	13	12	13	40:39	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	50
10	Sheger Ketema FC	38	11	17	10	34:31	50
11	Bahir Dar Kenema	38	9	21	8	28:28	48
12	Hadiya Hossana	38	11	15	12	31:35	48
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	47
14	Ethiopian Insurance	38	10	16	12	30:31	46
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	46
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	46
17	Shire Endaselassie	38	9	15	14	24:32	42
18	Dire Dawa	38	9	15	14	27:41	42
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	38	8	16	14	26:38	40
20	Arba Menche	38	7	14	17	30:46	35