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Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren

China China

Super League Bao'an Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Wesley Moraes
Assist: Xuan Z.
8'
Owusu-Sekyere D.
17'
Xu Dong

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Shenzhen Xinpengcheng and Liaoning Tieren finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
20%
Draws
38%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liaoning Tieren come out ahead of Shenzhen Xinpengcheng on wins alone.
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 11%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 League One
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 League One
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
3:0
Jun 12, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Moraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 40 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Liaoning Tieren has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng VS Liaoning Tieren
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411