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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol host Dacia Buiucani in the Super Liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Sheriff Tiraspol have averaged 1.76 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Dacia Buiucani's 1.21 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Sheriff Tiraspol slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 10, 2026, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.06, favoring Sheriff Tiraspol. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sheriff Tiraspol
15%
Draws
34%
Dacia Buiucani
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Dacia Buiucani on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sheriff Tiraspol a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Dacia Buiucani
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.76 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:5
Aug 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
1:0
May 3, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
Dacia Buiucani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Dacia Buiucani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sheriff Tiraspol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Dacia Buiucani has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Dacia Buiucani
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
24 Oct
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
17 Oct
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Real Sireti
10 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 7

Dacia Buiucani

(Away)
27 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
6 : 0
Univer Comrat
24 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 1
Real Sireti
17 Oct
Petrocub Hincesti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
10 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 16 11 4 1 41:12 37
2 Zimbru Chisinau 16 9 4 3 33:14 31
3 Petrocub Hincesti 16 8 5 3 27:15 29
4 Dacia Buiucani 16 7 3 6 22:22 24
5 Politehnica UTM 16 5 4 7 25:25 19
6 Milsami 16 4 7 5 18:23 19
7 Real Sireti 16 1 7 8 12:24 10
8 CSF Balti 16 1 2 13 10:53 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)