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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol host Milsami in the Super Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Milsami have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Sheriff Tiraspol have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.8. Head-to-head, Sheriff Tiraspol have won 2 to Milsami's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.13) back Sheriff Tiraspol to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sheriff Tiraspol
20%
Draws
20%
Milsami
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheriff Tiraspol come out ahead of Milsami on wins alone.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 20%
Milsami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Milsami
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.8 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
0:0
May 17, 2026 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Milsami
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super Liga
Milsami vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 85 / 100
Milsami 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Milsami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sheriff Tiraspol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Milsami conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Milsami
3 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
24 Oct
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
17 Oct
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Real Sireti
10 Oct
Dacia Buiucani
2 : 5
Sheriff Tiraspol
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 7

Milsami

(Away)
24 Oct
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Milsami
18 Oct
Milsami
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
11 Oct
Milsami
3 : 3
Politehnica UTM
20 Sept
Real Sireti
1 : 2
Milsami
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 16 11 4 1 41:12 37
2 Zimbru Chisinau 16 9 4 3 33:14 31
3 Petrocub Hincesti 16 8 5 3 27:15 29
4 Dacia Buiucani 16 7 3 6 22:22 24
5 Politehnica UTM 16 5 4 7 25:25 19
6 Milsami 16 4 7 5 18:23 19
7 Real Sireti 16 1 7 8 12:24 10
8 CSF Balti 16 1 2 13 10:53 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)