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Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Marcello
40'
Ghorbel M.
46'
Sub
Ghorbel M. In: Ze Flores
Out: Ghorbel M.

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sheriff Tiraspol
28%
Draws
22%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won more games recently than Zimbru Chisinau.
  • Model gives Sheriff Tiraspol a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
4:2
May 23, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:0
May 10, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Fomba B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sheriff Tiraspol 59 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sheriff Tiraspol Zimbru Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sheriff Tiraspol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sheriff Tiraspol scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Zimbru Chisinau conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sheriff Tiraspol VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Home)
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
28 Jun
Sheriff Tiraspol
3 : 0
Real Sireti
23 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau
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Zimbru Chisinau

(Away)
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
05 Jul
Zimbru Chisinau
3 : 0
CSF Balti
27 Jun
Milsami
0 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau
23 May
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 0
Zimbru Chisinau
17 May
Zimbru Chisinau
1 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)