Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Beijing Guoan

China China

FA Cup 2025 Yutong International Sports Center, Shijiazhuang
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dawhan
30' Event
Wang Ziming
55'
Zhan Sainan

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Beijing Guoan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
33%
Draws
40%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Beijing Guoan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Beijing Guoan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Beijing Guoan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Beijing Guoan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Beijing Guoan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Clean Sheet 18%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shijiazhuang Gongfu Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Beijing Guoan
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shijiazhuang Gongfu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Ziming
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dawhan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu 28 / 100
Beijing Guoan 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shijiazhuang Gongfu Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Beijing Guoan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Shijiazhuang Gongfu VS Beijing Guoan
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shijiazhuang Gongfu

(Home)
25 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 1
Nantong Zhiyun
17 Jul
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0
Yanbian Longding
11 Jul
Guangdong GZ-Power
2 : 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04 Jul
Ningbo Professional
2 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

Beijing Guoan

(Away)
21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2
Beijing Guoan
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0
Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2
Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Quanzhou Yassin2
Wenzhou Professional3
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Shenzhen Jixiang1
Guangxi Lanhang0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Ningbo Fioren0
Guangdong Mingtu2
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Qingdao May Wind1
Taian Tiankuang5
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Shanghai Segenda1
Kunming City Star0
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Chunlei1
Beijing Technology0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
Guangdong Shudihong0
Guizhou Guiyang4
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Changchun Xidu0
Guangxi Hengchen1
TBD-
Shanghai Jiading Huilong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Jiangxi Lushan3
TBD-
Qingdao Red Lions-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Changning0
Nantong Haimen3
TBD-
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Quanzhou Qinggong1
Hangzhou Linping0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Shanghai Zetian0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Shaanxi Northwest4
Ganzhou Ruishi1
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Guangzhou Dandelion3
Hubei Istar2
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
1/32-finals
Wenzhou Professional0
Dalian Kun City3
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
Shenzhen Jixiang0
Yanbian Longding1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Mingtu2
Shenzhen Juniors3
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Taian Tiankuang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union4
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Shanghai Segenda0
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Chunlei1
Guangdong GZ-Power2
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
Guizhou Guiyang2
Foshan Nanshi1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0
Liaoning Tieren2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Guangxi Hengchen2
Shanghai Jiading Huilong1
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
Jiangxi Lushan0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Nantong Haimen0
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao1
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Suzhou Dongwu4
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Wuxi Wugou2
Nantong Zhiyun0
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Shaanxi Northwest0
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Guangzhou Dandelion1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
1/16-finals
Dalian Kun City2
Changchun Yatai1
Yanbian Longding0
Qingdao West Coast2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Dalian Yingbo5
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Beijing Guoan5
Shaanxi Union2
Wuhan Three Towns1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Yunnan Yukun2
Guangdong GZ-Power3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng2
Guizhou Guiyang0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Liaoning Tieren0
Qingdao Hainiu1
Guangxi Hengchen2
Meizhou Hakka1
Qingdao Red Lions0
Shandong Taishan5
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao0
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Shanghai Port6
Wuxi Wugou0
Shanghai Shenhua3
Chongqing Tonglianglong1
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Zhejiang Professional1
1/8-finals
Dalian Kun City0
Qingdao West Coast2
Dalian Yingbo1
Beijing Guoan2
Shaanxi Union1
Yunnan Yukun2
Guangdong GZ-Power2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0
Qingdao Hainiu2
Guangxi Hengchen1
Shandong Taishan1
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Shanghai Port2
Shanghai Shenhua3
Henan Songshan Longmen3
Zhejiang Professional2
Quarter-finals
Qingdao West Coast2
Beijing Guoan3
Yunnan Yukun3
Guangdong GZ-Power0
Qingdao Hainiu1
Chengdu Rongcheng2
Shanghai Shenhua3
Henan Songshan Longmen4
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan7
Yunnan Yukun0
Chengdu Rongcheng0
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Final
Beijing Guoan3
Henan Songshan Longmen0