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Stadium Background

Shimal vs Lokbatan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Shahmuradov R.
86' Event
Humbatov R.
90' Event
Abasov R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Shimal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shimal
6%
Draws
4%
Lokbatan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shimal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Shimal and Lokbatan close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Shimal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Shimal, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Shimal Clean Sheet 68%
Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimal Lokbatan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 I Liqa
Shimal vs Lokbatan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimal Compare

Top Goalscorer Humbatov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abasov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahmuradov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimal 95 / 100
Lokbatan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimal Lokbatan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokbatan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Shimal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Lokbatan's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Shimal VS Lokbatan
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Shimal

(Home)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
21 May
Cebrayil
2 : 3
Shimal
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
Page 1 of 6

Lokbatan

(Away)
27 May
Shimal
2 : 1
Lokbatan
28 Oct
Lokbatan
2 : 3
Imisli FK
22 May
Lokbatan
0 : 3
Gabala
16 May
Karvan
2 : 2
Lokbatan
09 May
Lokbatan
0 : 1
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Shimal2
Lokbatan1