Sport Picks
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J1 League IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kakita Y. In: Segawa Y.
Out: Kakita Y.
57'
57'
Sub
Yamauchi H. In: Hosoya M.
Out: Yamauchi H.
66'
66'
Sub
Honda Y. In: Sumiyoshi J.
Out: Honda Y.
AI Match Summary
Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kashiwa Reysol lately — more wins on the board than Shimizu S-Pulse.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kashiwa Reysol have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 23%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:2
May 6, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Aug 20, 2022 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:1
May 29, 2022 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Shimizu S-Pulse
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Shimizu S-Pulse 33 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Shimizu S-Pulse Kashiwa Reysol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Shimizu S-Pulse scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Kashiwa Reysol has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Shimizu S-Pulse went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Shimizu S-Pulse VS Kashiwa Reysol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Home) 29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 FC Osaka
Page 1 of 3
Kashiwa Reysol
(Away) 23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
