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Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

'
Yehezkel R. H.
83' Event
Yehezkel R. H.
90' Event
Sapir S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
20%
Draws
38%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Shimshon Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Beitar Nordia Jerusalem.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Shimshon Tel Aviv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Beitar Nordia Jerusalem have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shimshon Tel Aviv Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Matches Played 23 22
Wins 9 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0.5 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
2:4
Oct 15, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Liga Alef South
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shimshon Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapir S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Yehezkel R. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shimshon Tel Aviv 42 / 100
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shimshon Tel Aviv Beitar Nordia Jerusalem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beitar Nordia Jerusalem let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Shimshon Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Shimshon Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shimshon Tel Aviv VS Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kiryat Gat21174053:1855
2Jerusalem FC22114745:2937
3FC Dimona22114729:3037
4Maccabi Yavne22106642:2836
5Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi22105727:2735
6Tzeirei Tira21103833:2433
7Shimshon Tel Aviv2286828:2830
8Beitar Yavne22931027:3430
9Kfar Saba 19282278728:3129
10Holon Yermiyahu22661030:3324
11Hapoel Marmorek22661020:3424
12Hapoel Azor2158817:2023
13H. Herzliya22571022:3622
14Ramat Hasharon22551224:4319
15Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2177737:3516
16Beitar Nordia Jerusalem22361328:4015