Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan

Armenia Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Gyumri City Stadium, Gyumri
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Ukadike D.
46'
Sub
Ukadike D. In: Aslanyan A.
Out: Ukadike D.
55'
Karagulyan R.

AI Match Summary

Ararat Yerevan in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ararat Yerevan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Shirak Gyumri
6%
Draws
4%
Ararat Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shirak Gyumri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ararat Yerevan have won more games recently than Shirak Gyumri.
  • Model gives Shirak Gyumri a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 68%
Ararat Yerevan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shirak Gyumri Ararat Yerevan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Ararat Yerevan vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
4:2
Apr 8, 2025 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs Ararat Yerevan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shirak Gyumri Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ararat Yerevan Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shirak Gyumri 95 / 100
Ararat Yerevan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shirak Gyumri Ararat Yerevan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ararat Yerevan has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Shirak Gyumri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Shirak Gyumri VS Ararat Yerevan
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Shirak Gyumri

(Home)
11 Jul
Shirak Gyumri
5 : 0
Andranik
04 Jul
BKMA
2 : 3
Shirak Gyumri
26 May
Alashkert
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
18 May
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 0
Urartu
08 May
Van
1 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
Page 1 of 6

Ararat Yerevan

(Away)
19 Jul
Ararat Yerevan
2 : 1
Andranik
19 Jul
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Jul
Ararat Yerevan
2 : 2
Van
26 May
Ararat Yerevan
1 : 1
BKMA
19 May
Noah
8 : 3
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia27186350:2560
2Noah27168361:1956
3Pyunik Yerevan27174637:1855
4Alashkert27165642:2353
5Urartu27147643:2649
6Van27941427:4031
7BKMA274111230:4223
8FC Gandzasar27561620:4121
9Ararat Yerevan27342021:6313
10Shirak Gyumri27271817:5113
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League (Main)