Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Gizaw B.
89' Event
Darge D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Shire Endaselassie and Fasil Kenema finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Shire Endaselassie
40%
Draws
29%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fasil Kenema come out ahead of Shire Endaselassie on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 68%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shire Endaselassie Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie
1:0
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Oct 1, 2024 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0
May 2, 2020 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shire Endaselassie Compare

Top Goalscorer Darge D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Fasil Kenema Compare

Top Goalscorer Gizaw B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shire Endaselassie 42 / 100
Fasil Kenema 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shire Endaselassie Fasil Kenema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shire Endaselassie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shire Endaselassie's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fasil Kenema let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Shire Endaselassie VS Fasil Kenema
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635