Sport Picks

North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026

Shkendija Tetovo

1 - 1

Brera Strumica

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Fetai I.

32'

Krasniqi E.

46'

Sub

Todorov M. In: Stojanov K.

Out: Todorov M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Shkendija Tetovo and Brera Strumica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Shkendija Tetovo

39%

Draws

31%

Brera Strumica

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Shkendija Tetovo come out ahead of Brera Strumica on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Shkendija Tetovo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Shkendija Tetovo Clean Sheet 68%

Brera Strumica Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Shkendija Tetovo	Brera Strumica
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	22	8
Draws	3	10
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.5	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Mar 9, 2026 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Jan 15, 2026 Club Friendly

Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Oct 31, 2025 1. MFL

Brera Strumica vs Shkendija Tetovo

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

2:3

Mar 31, 2025 1. MFL

Shkendija Tetovo vs Brera Strumica

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shkendija Tetovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Brera Strumica Compare

Top Goalscorer Velkoski V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.52

Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shkendija Tetovo 41 / 100

Brera Strumica 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Shkendija Tetovo Brera Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkendija Tetovo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Brera Strumica let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Shkendija Tetovo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Shkendija Tetovo VS Brera Strumica

1.5 Goals Scored 1.67

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vardar	33	26	5	2	80:21	83
2	Shkendija Tetovo	33	23	5	5	67:30	74
3	Struga	33	19	5	9	68:28	62
4	Sileks	33	16	5	12	59:36	53
5	Tikves	33	14	6	13	59:47	48
6	Arsimi	33	13	7	13	50:53	46
7	Bashkimi	33	11	9	13	40:54	42
8	Pelister	33	10	10	13	41:42	40
9	Brera Strumica	33	10	10	13	46:56	40
10	Makedonija GP	33	9	7	17	42:57	34
11	Rabotnicki	33	9	6	18	45:58	33
12	Shkupi	33	0	1	32	15:130	1