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Shturmi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025 Sartichala Central Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Shturmi play Bakhmaro Chokhatauri in the Liga 3 2025. Shturmi are favorites here. Recently, Shturmi averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Bakhmaro Chokhatauri averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Shturmi won 5, Bakhmaro Chokhatauri won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Shturmi and 0.81 for Bakhmaro Chokhatauri. This points to a Shturmi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Shturmi
17%
Draws
10%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shturmi picked up more points recently compared to Bakhmaro Chokhatauri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 26%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Shturmi Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 11 4
Losses 5 24
Goals Scored 1.72 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.72 2.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
0:2
Jun 24, 2025 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
5:0
Jun 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
0:4
Sep 7, 2023 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Shturmi
2:3
Apr 13, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemoklidze L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Omarashvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Shturmi 71 / 100
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Shturmi Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Shturmi & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.4%
1.54
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Shturmi attacking → ← attacking Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shturmi scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Shturmi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 10
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413